Now the honesty that matters most in the withdrawal phase: sequence-of-returns risk. When you're withdrawing, the *order* of returns matters enormously — a market fall in the first few years, while you're also taking money out, can drain a corpus far faster than the average return would suggest, even if the long-run average is fine. A constant-rate projection like this one can't capture that, so treat the result as an optimistic-ish baseline, not a promise. This is an educational estimate, not investment advice.
Two more notes: the figures are nominal (a fixed withdrawal loses purchasing power over time — use the step-up option to keep pace with inflation), and taxes on withdrawals or gains vary and aren't included. Everything runs in your browser; your corpus and withdrawal figures are never uploaded. For the saving-up phase, see the Compound Interest Calculator.
- Retirement income. Turn a corpus into a monthly withdrawal and see how long it lasts.
- Sustainable withdrawal. Find a rate the corpus can support without depleting.
- Planning a drawdown. Test how a downturn or a bigger withdrawal changes longevity.
- SWP vs dividends. Compare a controlled withdrawal against relying on payouts.
- Inflation planning. Model rising withdrawals with the step-up option.
Realistic example. A 6,000,000 corpus, 40,000 withdrawn monthly, at an assumed 8% return: monthly growth is about 6,000,000 × 0.667% ≈ 40,000 — right at the threshold, so the corpus lasts a very long time. Nudge the withdrawal to 50,000 and it starts depleting; the tool shows roughly when.
Advanced tip. To keep your income's purchasing power, use the step-up option to raise withdrawals with inflation — but note that rising withdrawals shorten how long the corpus lasts.
Common mistake to avoid. Don't rely on the average return alone. A bad early sequence can deplete a corpus faster than a smooth projection implies — plan with a margin.
Related. For the accumulation phase, see the Compound Interest Calculator; for retirement drawdown, the Savings Drawdown Calculator.
What this estimate does and doesn't include
- Not investment advice. It's an educational projection to help you plan a withdrawal.
- Sequence-of-returns risk isn't modelled. A constant rate can be optimistic; an early downturn while withdrawing can deplete a corpus faster.
- The return is an assumption. Actual returns vary and can be negative; past performance doesn't predict the future.
- Figures are nominal. A fixed withdrawal loses value to inflation over time — use step-up for a real-terms view.
- Taxes aren't included. Tax on withdrawals or gains varies by country and product.
- Your data stays private. All maths runs on your device; nothing is uploaded.